IMPACT, AMIR, and Reality
(Mistakatonic University Press) - Now that the draft is over, Arkham Grave Robbers' President, Jeb Whatley, wants the world to know: Rating systems work. "We've relied on the AMI [Arkham Malevolent Intelligence] and its rating system as long as I can remember. The recent college draft is a perfect example. A little supernatural evil can go a long way." "If you look at the AMIR [AMI Rankings] and the IMPACT rating system, you'll see that they do a very good job of predicting how things will turn out. Compared with how the draft actually came out, the AMIR were extremely accurate. The occasional perfect predicition was just icing on the cake. Look at Darryl Gardner, for example. The AMI said he'd be picked 50, and he was. We managed to get 20 out of 84 picks within 3 selections of reality, and only 12 players dropped more than a 12 picks (a round) below predictions."
"16 rookies were selected at least 12 picks above our predictions. Hopefully, that means bad draft picks by coaches. In the case of players like Tyrone Haselrig, Kenny Proctor, Darin Hall and Monte Nebs, it may just be some Whatley continues: "Of course, we ask the AMI to rate players for on-field performance. That's the key. But it's amazing how the APFL coaches see things. I guess there 's a little 'AMI' in each of us. And we definitely feel we had a superb draft. A couple of starters fell to us in middle rounds. We owe it all to the AMI. We're looking at starting five or six young guys this year. I don't think there's a team out there that can match our 'Jumbo' package. And we're also very happy with our defensive line. Again, the AMI did a great job." Asked about the IMPACT system, Whatley said, "IMPACT was also a good tool. It seemed to rate the lower-tier receivers better than AMI, or maybe those guys are really as bad as they seem [chuckles]. The AMI was about 2 picks closer than IMPACT for predicting when a rookie was selected. Like I said before, there's no telling what some GMs will do. Once we have the AMI reading the rosters of the drafting teams, it should be even better." "I think there's a lesson to be learned here. You can spend lots of time pouring over combine results and psych evaluations. You can tear your hair out deciding if a fullback or a tight end will help your team more. Or, like we do in Arkham, you can just turn it all over to an extra-dimensional monster and let it do the sorting for you. I don't think anyone can argue with our resuts. Well, except we still need a linebacker..."
"You can see that even though some kickers had future promise, most teams didn't have a need at that spot, likewise with quarterbacks. With the exception of the two kickers, these were marginal picks. There were also a few players for whom the coaches and ratings agreed: Not good enough. Overall, I'm proud of the AMI. It did a great job of helping us find the talent."
|
Back | Main | Old News |